James Bryce , the historian , had it right when he wrote that the chief practical use of history is to deliver us from plausible but superficial historical analogies .
历史学家詹姆斯布赖斯（jamesbryce）曾写道，历史最主要的实际作用，就是向我们提供貌似有理、但很表面的历史类比。
James Bryce